Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 12.582828 14.465655 16.473407 18.767045 21.307862 24.029455 27.158121
2025-02-09 10.106021 12.563864 15.343356 18.696630 22.608635 27.004209 32.291401
2025-02-16 8.029842 10.704196 13.888587 17.913714 22.816554 28.544142 35.686855
2025-02-23 6.738534 9.556573 13.066908 17.684506 23.515821 30.549308 39.579924
2025-03-02 5.648458 8.496506 12.197708 17.248192 23.837483 32.013937 42.783190
2025-03-09 4.869879 7.736729 11.609817 17.072020 24.406867 33.736303 46.296745
2025-03-16 4.151610 6.964318 10.912151 16.660048 24.593156 34.920528 49.110639
2025-03-23 3.702685 6.522589 10.617168 16.747197 25.410161 36.912913 52.991881
2025-03-30 3.278698 6.064803 10.248244 16.683450 25.986586 38.573645 56.455189
2025-04-06 2.977787 5.762788 10.074917 16.872381 26.900227 40.694706 60.571024
2025-04-13 2.711830 5.485278 9.909082 17.047565 27.781948 42.779487 64.675612
2025-04-20 2.541088 5.348125 9.945522 17.518171 29.096606 45.491692 69.699833
2025-04-27 2.355100 5.166648 9.899264 17.860295 30.239683 48.006790 74.538331
2025-05-04 2.124556 4.876964 9.649298 17.859531 30.856340 49.775323 78.361202
2025-05-11 1.797562 4.363823 8.977177 17.131405 30.316655 49.832875 79.730200
2025-05-18 1.592321 4.060476 8.638963 16.921062 30.556039 51.022461 82.737397
2025-05-25 1.381918 3.717321 8.197993 16.504217 30.438885 51.661570 84.940391
2025-06-01 1.228660 3.473463 7.915765 16.335910 30.702483 52.868146 87.991966
2025-06-08 1.065687 3.183675 7.519837 15.938891 30.566105 53.446732 90.107436
2025-06-15 0.973654 3.043667 7.400129 16.023323 31.222264 55.256727 94.102268
2025-06-22 0.875861 2.875170 7.208435 15.961901 31.624142 56.672017 97.520617
2025-06-29 0.810458 2.777598 7.151854 16.144359 32.442428 58.758027 102.001228
2025-07-06 0.749486 2.682357 7.091479 16.313528 33.238994 60.823362 106.486053